2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,179 sqft ·
Built 1929
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,131/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$238
Net cashflow
$201/mo
Annual
$2,408/yr
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (1.5% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#151 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Bisbee Unified District (4169) (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #218 of 249 in AZ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Greenway Primary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #687 of 1,109 statewide, top 65%, 212 students, 76% FRL); Lowell School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #174 of 218 statewide, top 81%, 116 students, 66% FRL); Bisbee High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #281 of 381 statewide, top 75%, 352 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $115k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.1% in Bisbee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3204W547CG8P87
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29