3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Active
· 310 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,551/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$430/mo
Annual
$5,162/yr
Cap rate
10.78%
Cash-on-cash
16.03%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 310 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,008 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime F.
Snyder ISD (town): math 33% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #577 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Snyder Pri (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 895 students, 79% FRL); Snyder Int (math 42% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 362 students, 70% FRL); Snyder H S (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 709 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Scurry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scurry County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 310 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Dated appearance
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated appearance
Minor: Landscaping
— Yard needs trimming
CashFlowRE · CFR-329ZT20C1ZYZ3H
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29