3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,255 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$400/mo
Annual
$4,802/yr
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.92%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#335 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Gadsden City (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #87 of 129 in AL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: W E Striplin Elementary School (math 5% / reading 21%, grade F, #532 of 627 statewide, top 85%, 464 students, 86% FRL); Gadsden Middle School (math 15% / reading 51%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 464 students, 75% FRL); Gadsden City High School (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #159 of 305 statewide, top 53%, 1,318 students, 76% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.1% in Gadsden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-32HXZ73WBRPFS1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29