3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,528/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$117/mo
Annual
$1,407/yr
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.87%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (12.6% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $153k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#104 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Randolph County School System (rural): math 43% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #94 of 178 in NC (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 789 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randolph County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 40% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $175k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-32ZV7NE7ARY9JF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29