3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,266/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$197
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$-403/mo
Annual
$-4,831/yr
Cap rate
4.19%
Cash-on-cash
-7.50%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.55%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-403 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (30.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (44.9% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (44.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
23 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $230k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-33A4GY0F07749D
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29