1423 Bill Carrol Dr

Norman, OK 73071

$103,532D

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Built 1972 · Townhouse · Pending · 33 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,146/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$543
• Tax + insurance: −$155
• HOA: −$220
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$241
• Net cashflow: $-12/mo
• Annual: $-145/yr
• Cap rate: 6.15%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.50%
• DSCR: 0.98
• 1% rule: 1.11%
• Cash to close: $28,989

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $104k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-145/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $101k (2.1% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
• It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $100k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $716 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in OK, #557 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
• Norman (suburban): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #61 of 270 in OK (top 23%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Kennedy Es (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #741 of 845 statewide, top 89%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Irving Ms (math 14% / reading 20%, grade F, #193 of 345 statewide, top 60%, 788 students, 0% FRL); Norman Hs (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #46 of 447 statewide, top 10%, 2,137 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 12 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.6% in Norman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.