554 E Lee St

Dawson, GA 39842

$129,900C

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,617 sqft · Built 1900 · SingleFamily · Active · 7 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,544/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$681
• Tax + insurance: −$125
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$324
• Net cashflow: $414/mo
• Annual: $4,973/yr
• Cap rate: 10.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.67%
• DSCR: 1.61
• 1% rule: 1.19%
• Cash to close: $36,372

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 55/100 on livability (#508 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Terrell County (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #167 of 174 in GA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Terrell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Terrell County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $26k; list at $130k implies a 390% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.