15 bd · 6.0 ba ·
5,904 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,782/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,326
Tax + insurance
−$1,524
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,684
Net cashflow
$4,248/mo
Annual
$50,972/yr
Cap rate
12.47%
Cash-on-cash
22.07%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$231,000
Investor read
This is a 3×2bd/1.0ba + 3×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $825k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($51k/yr) — positive. Per door: $708/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $825k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($776k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $776k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F.
Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $666k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $231k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.2% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $12,782/mo this rent would consume 229% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1176% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-34JSQSBBV21CVX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29