4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,624 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,332
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$524
Net cashflow
$422/mo
Annual
$5,059/yr
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.11%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$71,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $254k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (1.8% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#134 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Sweetwater (rural): math 25% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #94 of 139 in TN (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 157 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.1% in Sweetwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-35GXMNCEK6KC4Q
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29