2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,664 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Other
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$658
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$713/mo
Annual
$8,552/yr
Cap rate
13.11%
Cash-on-cash
24.34%
DSCR
2.08
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$35,140
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $126k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $126k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $868 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#564 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.9% in Inverness — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and discoloration suggest significant damage.
Major: siding
— The siding is old and shows extensive wear.
Major: flooring
— The flooring is worn and may need replacement.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The walls and paint show significant wear and discoloration.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— The HVAC system appears old and may need replacement or repair.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is sparse and in need of maintenance to improve curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-35VC0VAZCP14PQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29