539 S Ruth St

Nowata, OK 74048

$26,000B

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 246 sqft · Built 2006 · Manufactured · Pending · 25 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $809/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$136
• Tax + insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$170
• Net cashflow: $483/mo
• Annual: $5,791/yr
• Cap rate: 28.56%
• Cash-on-cash: 79.54%
• DSCR: 4.54
• 1% rule: 3.11%
• Cash to close: $7,280

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $26k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($809 rent vs $26k).
• It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $26k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($180 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#455 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Nowata (town): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #234 of 270 in OK (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Nowata County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Nowata County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $15k; list at $26k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 4.7% in Nowata — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.