3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,547 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,627/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$222
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$342
Net cashflow
$303/mo
Annual
$3,633/yr
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.95%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#62 in IA, #1,413 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
East Mills Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #100 of 289 in IA (top 35%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 39 units permitted in Mills County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mills County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $44k; list at $145k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-36AM6G9GXHYBV4
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29