3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,931 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,785/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$276
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$375
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,178/yr
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.79%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (7.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (24.0% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $178k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#400 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Gates County Schools (rural): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #129 of 178 in NC (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Central Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #323 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 345 students, 53% FRL); Gates County Senior High (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #374 of 535 statewide, top 71%, 479 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Gates County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gates County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $162k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-371RD117VS0H83
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29