5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,740 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Active
· 132 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,440/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$290
HOA
−$54
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$512
Net cashflow
$-252/mo
Annual
$-3,020/yr
Cap rate
5.43%
Cash-on-cash
-3.08%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$97,997
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-252 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (12.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (30.3% below list).
It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#312 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Taylor ISD (town): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #726 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Naomi Pasemann El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 649 students, 68% FRL); Taylor Middle (math 16% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,407 of 1,662 statewide, top 86%, 651 students, 69% FRL); Taylor H S (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,366 of 1,632 statewide, top 84%, 907 students, 61% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 319 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).
Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.3% in Taylor — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-37PVM40GTXC3G3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29