2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,064/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-57/mo
Annual
$-682/yr
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.88%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-682/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (6.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (18.1% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Somerset Independent (town): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #42 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hopkins Elementary School (math 48% / reading 48%, grade D, #115 of 676 statewide, top 17%, 650 students, 71% FRL); Meece Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #73 of 217 statewide, top 36%, 444 students, 67% FRL); Somerset High School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 521 students, 54% FRL).
Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $96k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Somerset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-37TMFA6T5G2WJ0
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29