1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
603 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Manufactured
· Active
· 316 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,527/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$107/mo
Annual
$1,287/yr
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.89%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (4.0% below list).
It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#89 in OR, #4,357 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
Bandon SD 54 (town): math 42% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #51 of 183 in OR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $138k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.3% in Bandon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— visible wear
Major: exterior siding
— some discoloration
Major: interior walls
— paint appears faded
Major: windows
— some appear old
CashFlowRE · CFR-38719WFZ8GG97H
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29