None bd · None ba ·
8,196 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 193 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,523/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,540
Tax + insurance
−$1,125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,420
Net cashflow
$4,438/mo
Annual
$53,261/yr
Cap rate
14.18%
Cash-on-cash
28.18%
DSCR
2.25
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$189,000
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $675k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($53k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $675k).
It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($594k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $594k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $68k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $64k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
Nettleton School District (urban): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #199 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $520k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$110k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $11,523/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 443% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior paint
— some discoloration
Minor: interior paint
— some discoloration
Minor: landscaping
— some overgrown areas
CashFlowRE · CFR-38WD2A7YNR9X0R
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29