3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,450 sqft ·
Built 1956
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,265/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$106
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$476
Net cashflow
$1,133/mo
Annual
$13,593/yr
Cap rate
19.24%
Cash-on-cash
46.24%
DSCR
3.06
1% rule
2.16%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $566/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,265/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-392XHA8VNAJ537
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29