270 Deer Run #270

Lima, OH 45807

$58,300A-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Built 2026 · Manufactured · Active · 56 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,635/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$306
• Tax + insurance: −$97
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$343
• Net cashflow: $889/mo
• Annual: $10,663/yr
• Cap rate: 24.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 65.32%
• DSCR: 3.91
• 1% rule: 2.80%
• Cash to close: $16,324

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $889 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
• It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($403 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Elida Local (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #311 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Elida Elementary (math 73% / reading 61%, grade B+, #456 of 1,584 statewide, top 31%, 1,018 students, 56% FRL); Elida Middle School (math 56% / reading 57%, grade B, #313 of 654 statewide, top 48%, 537 students, 59% FRL); Elida High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #303 of 781 statewide, top 42%, 628 students, 42% FRL).
• Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 7.6% in Lima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.