3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,450 sqft ·
Built 2013
· Manufactured
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,083/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$388
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$344/mo
Annual
$4,128/yr
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.92%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$20,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Etowah County (suburban): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #36 of 129 in AL (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Carlisle Elementary School (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #296 of 627 statewide, top 49%, 354 students, 77% FRL); Sardis High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #242 of 305 statewide, top 80%, 584 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 41% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Etowah County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $55k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed subfloor
— Needs complete flooring and subfloor replacement
Major: Exposed subfloor
— Needs complete flooring and subfloor replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-39GSJ25Z0Z6MER
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29