4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,453 sqft ·
Built 2007
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 126 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,219/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$369
HOA
−$55
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$676
Net cashflow
$-504/mo
Annual
$-6,042/yr
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.32%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-504 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $411k (17.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $322k (35.6% below list).
It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $322k (35.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#9 in NM, #4,641 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
Santa Fe Public Schools (urban): math 34% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #6 of 29 in NM (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 244 units permitted in Santa Fe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.4% in Santa Fe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29