3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,588 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,206/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$246
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$463
Net cashflow
$291/mo
Annual
$3,492/yr
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.42%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (4.0% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $221k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Bartlesville (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #59 of 270 in OK (top 22%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Wayside Es (math 56% / reading 49%, grade C-, #33 of 845 statewide, top 4%, 694 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 29% / reading 29%, grade F, #55 of 345 statewide, top 16%, 671 students, 0% FRL); Bartlesville Hs (math 38% / reading 45%, grade F, #23 of 447 statewide, top 5%, 1,642 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $146k; list at $230k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.7% in Bartlesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3A89TC9QT75NKD
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29