2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$462
Net cashflow
$874/mo
Annual
$10,490/yr
Cap rate
14.68%
Cash-on-cash
29.97%
DSCR
2.33
1% rule
1.76%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $874 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,175 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Latexo ISD (rural): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #365 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Latexo H S (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 199 students, 51% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Latexo ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Houston County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior paint
— Paint is faded and peeling.
Major: Landscaping
— Needs trimming and maintenance.
Minor: Interior paint
— Some wear visible on walls.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3AB46R56XPCTN2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29