4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,154 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$372
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-235/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.38%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-235/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (1.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (13.2% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#48 in KS, #3,368 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Rose Hill Public Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #84 of 169 in KS (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Rose Hill Primary (457 students, 36% FRL); Rose Hill Middle (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #121 of 219 statewide, top 56%, 378 students, 38% FRL); Rose Hill High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #278 of 327 statewide, top 86%, 567 students, 27% FRL).
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 235 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29