3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,532 sqft ·
Built 1907
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,188/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$325
Tax + insurance
−$215
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$399/mo
Annual
$4,784/yr
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.56%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.92%
Cash to close
$17,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($429 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Annawan CUSD 226 (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #429 of 919 in IL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Annawan Grade School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #658 of 2,056 statewide, top 35%, 247 students, 0% FRL); Annawan High School (math 30% / reading 10%, grade F, #357 of 693 statewide, top 54%, 105 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 22% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3ATG4Q8M025S08
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29