4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,580 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,653/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$448
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$19/mo
Annual
$222/yr
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.50%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($222/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#214 in NY, #3,289 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
Candor Central School District (rural): math 26% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #551 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Candor Elementary School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,729 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 400 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $160k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.3% in Owego — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3ATJER80AATZHH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29