2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,255/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$389
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$789/mo
Annual
$9,467/yr
Cap rate
14.53%
Cash-on-cash
29.40%
DSCR
2.31
1% rule
1.96%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $789 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $394/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#238 in NY, #3,739 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Johnson City Central School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Johnson City Elementary/Primary School (496 students, 55% FRL); Johnson City Middle School (math 19% / reading 43%, grade F, #534 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 500 students, 65% FRL); Johnson City Senior High School (math 98% / reading 64%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 729 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Johnson City Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 6.3% in Johnson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage and missing shingles.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in poor condition.
Major: flooring
— The flooring in the kitchen and living areas appears to be in poor condition with visible wear and tear.
Major: interior walls
— The interior walls in the bedrooms and living areas appear to be in poor condition with visible wear and tear.
Major: bathrooms
— The bathrooms appear to be in poor condition with visible wear and tear.
Major: exterior fencing
— The exterior fencing is in poor condition with visible wear and tear.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3B1FD72FFJR3VM
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29