5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,338 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,552/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$746
Net cashflow
$1,118/mo
Annual
$13,412/yr
Cap rate
11.45%
Cash-on-cash
18.43%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$72,772
Investor read
This is a 1×4bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $559/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $260k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in NY, #4,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, commute F.
Oswego City School District (town): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #465 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $260k implies a 247% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 8.8% in Oswego — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $3,552/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1341% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3B2RNV1897AE9T
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29