4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,616 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 319 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,543/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,701
Tax + insurance
−$1,176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,164
Net cashflow
$-498/mo
Annual
$-5,981/yr
Cap rate
5.45%
Cash-on-cash
-3.03%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$197,619
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $640k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-498 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $634k (1.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $554k (13.4% below list).
It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($563k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $554k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#35 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Washoe County School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 17 in NV (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Alyce Taylor Elementary (math 54% / reading 55%, grade C, #42 of 402 statewide, top 10%, 452 students, 27% FRL); Yvonne Shaw Middle School (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D, #14 of 109 statewide, top 13%, 712 students, 20% FRL); Spanish Springs High School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #67 of 131 statewide, top 53%, 2,057 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 42% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,085 units permitted in Washoe County in 2024 (1,634 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washoe County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.2% in Spanish Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant wear and tear visible in the satellite image.
Major: exterior siding
— Significant peeling and discoloration visible in the listing photos.
Major: exterior paint
— Significant peeling and discoloration visible in the listing photos.
Major: landscaping
— Sparse vegetation and minimal curb appeal visible in the listing photos.
Major: fencing
— No fencing is visible in the listing photos, but the overall appearance suggests it may be in poor condition.
Major: HVAC condensers
— The satellite image shows HVAC condensers, which may be in poor condition if the roof is in poor condition. Further inspection is needed to confirm this.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3BYM8G5CHNMKX3
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29