36 bd · None ba ·
4,680 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$431
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,692
Net cashflow
$4,257/mo
Annual
$51,081/yr
Cap rate
22.26%
Cash-on-cash
57.03%
DSCR
3.54
1% rule
2.52%
Cash to close
$89,572
Investor read
This is a 4×2bd/1ba + 2×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($51k/yr) — positive. Per door: $709/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $320k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $301k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,058/mo this rent would consume 216% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-3CEFJR4DCQ6EE5
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29