2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
792 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Other
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$896/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$252
Tax + insurance
−$510
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$188
Net cashflow
$-54/mo
Annual
$-651/yr
Cap rate
16.45%
Cash-on-cash
36.27%
DSCR
2.61
1% rule
1.87%
Cash to close
$13,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $48k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-651/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $38k (20.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($896 rent vs $48k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $38k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#1,291 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Elsberry R-II (rural): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #156 of 324 in MO (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 149 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3CRQV2FFJS46JC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29