3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
940 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Active
· 292 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,657/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$500
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$118/mo
Annual
$1,414/yr
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.05%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 292 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#170 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Iron District (town): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #42 of 80 in UT (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 819 active listings in the ZIP; 655 units permitted in Iron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iron County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 292 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Carpeted floors
— Some wear
Minor: Interior walls/paint
— Some wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-3CTKD408KS82DE
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29