6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,976 sqft ·
Built 1932
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,295/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$889
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$272
Net cashflow
$-57/mo
Annual
$-682/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.44%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$47,460
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-682/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (23.6% below list).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#244 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Leyton Public Schools (rural): math 60% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #82 of 245 in NE (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Cheyenne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cheyenne County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29