3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,753 sqft ·
Built 1906
· Other
· Pending
· 169 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$968
Tax + insurance
−$365
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$10/mo
Annual
$123/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.24%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$51,660
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $184k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($123/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (7.9% below list).
It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in SD, #610 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Sioux Falls School District 49-5 (urban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #45 of 59 in SD (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Susan B. Anthony Elementary - 66 (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #165 of 253 statewide, top 65%, 555 students, 43% FRL); Patrick Henry Middle School - 07 (math 42% / reading 53%, grade C-, #69 of 143 statewide, top 48%, 940 students, 24% FRL); Lincoln High School - 02 (math 48% / reading 71%, grade C+, #31 of 151 statewide, top 32%, 1,883 students, 22% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,425 units permitted in Minnehaha County in 2024 (1,367 in 5+ unit buildings).
Minnehaha County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $56k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $184k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in Sioux Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3DV15GB8VNABFD
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29