2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,316/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$104
Tax + insurance
−$33
HOA
−$624
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$278/mo
Annual
$3,342/yr
Cap rate
23.08%
Cash-on-cash
59.97%
DSCR
3.67
1% rule
6.62%
Cash to close
$5,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#100 in OH, #1,523 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Amherst Exempted Village (suburban): math 66% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #160 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 47% of rent.
Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 23.1% vs local median 3.9% in Amherst — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repainting or replacement.
Minor: Landscaping
— Appears maintained but not recently updated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3EY7XNCE02PF6R
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29