278 Jourdan St

Hinesburg, VT 05461

$105,000B

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Built 2007 · Manufactured · Active · 46 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,775/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$551
• Tax + insurance: −$177
• HOA: −$495
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$373
• Net cashflow: $179/mo
• Annual: $2,151/yr
• Cap rate: 9.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.03%
• DSCR: 1.45
• 1% rule: 1.69%
• Cash to close: $29,400

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
• It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#54 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Zoned schools: Hinesburg Community School (math 52% / reading 66%, grade B-, #24 of 192 statewide, top 12%, 506 students, 22% FRL); Champlain Valley Union High School (math 47% / reading 80%, grade B-, #2 of 48 statewide, top 2%, 1,325 students, 14% FRL).
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 28% of rent.
• Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• Current owner paid $39k; list at $105k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.