3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,366 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,919/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$436
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$-179/mo
Annual
$-2,147/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.20%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-179 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (20.0% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $192k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Plymouth School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #78 of 153 in CT (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Terryville High School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C-, #63 of 194 statewide, top 39%, 367 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 22% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3G1EVQAM5HVVJK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29