None bd · 22201.0 ba ·
59,600 sqft ·
Built 1965
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$157,509/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$44,051
Tax + insurance
−$14,000
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$33,077
Net cashflow
$66,382/mo
Annual
$796,579/yr
Cap rate
15.78%
Cash-on-cash
33.87%
DSCR
2.51
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$2,352,000
Investor read
This is a 149 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $8.40M. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $66k ($797k/yr) — positive. Per door: $446/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($158k rent vs $8.40M).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($7.64M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $7.64M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $58k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $252k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#716 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
Kern High (urban): math 21% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #860 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 884111% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $2.35M cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bakersfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $157,509/mo this rent would consume 3721% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2587% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— The exterior paint appears to be peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in need of repair or replacement.
Major: flooring
— The flooring appears to be in need of replacement or repair.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint appear to be in need of repainting.
Major: systems
— The systems appear to be in need of repair or replacement.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping appears to be in need of maintenance and improvement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3H7RPK47ZRW99K
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29