6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,300 sqft ·
Built 1931
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,278/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$470
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$688
Net cashflow
$704/mo
Annual
$8,446/yr
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.17%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $704 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $352/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Lansingburgh Central School District (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #566 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Turnpike Elementary School (534 students, 61% FRL); Knickerbacker Middle School (math 15% / reading 35%, grade F, #601 of 729 statewide, top 82%, 471 students, 75% FRL); Lansingburgh Senior High School (math 92%, 638 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $136k; list at $270k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3HK3MBD0PGQDJM
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29