4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,870 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,798/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$588
Net cashflow
$1,277/mo
Annual
$15,330/yr
Cap rate
17.65%
Cash-on-cash
40.55%
DSCR
2.80
1% rule
2.07%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $639/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,240 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Waterloo Central School District (town): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #525 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Skoi-Yase School (349 students, 59% FRL); Waterloo Middle School (math 13% / reading 31%, grade F, #656 of 729 statewide, top 90%, 338 students, 63% FRL); Waterloo High School (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A, #452 of 1,100 statewide, top 44%, 438 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 40% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Waterloo Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 4.9% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3HKZ7X67Q737CN
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29