3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$-153/mo
Annual
$-1,837/yr
Cap rate
5.21%
Cash-on-cash
-3.86%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (15.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (33.8% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $113k (33.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#344 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, employment D+.
Northeastern Wayne Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in IN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Northeastern Elementary School (math 48% / reading 38%, grade F, #417 of 994 statewide, top 43%, 590 students, 55% FRL); Northeastern Middle School (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #128 of 330 statewide, top 40%, 324 students, 48% FRL); Northeastern High School (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #247 of 369 statewide, top 70%, 443 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 30% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3HSRTXCBF7PC59
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29