4015 Mcclatchey Cir NE

Atlanta, GA 30342

$549,000C

4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,786 sqft · Built 1969 · SingleFamily · Pending · 16 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $6,065/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,879
• Tax + insurance: −$879
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,274
• Net cashflow: $1,033/mo
• Annual: $12,396/yr
• Cap rate: 8.55%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.06%
• DSCR: 1.36
• 1% rule: 1.10%
• Cash to close: $153,720

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $549k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $549k).
• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($541k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $541k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
• Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Sara Rawson Smith Elementary School (math 57% / reading 59%, grade C+, #143 of 1,228 statewide, top 12%, 865 students, 26% FRL); Willis A. Sutton Middle School (math 36% / reading 55%, grade D+, #97 of 470 statewide, top 22%, 1,548 students, 34% FRL); North Atlanta High School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #213 of 424 statewide, top 51%, 2,316 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 71% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 233 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $6,065/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($124k/yr) (locally 1459% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.