4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,144 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,030/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$328
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$426
Net cashflow
$232/mo
Annual
$2,788/yr
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
5.00%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $199k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,103 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Whitehall Central School District (rural): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #530 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Whitehall Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,786 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 353 students, 63% FRL); Whitehall Junior-Senior High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #912 of 1,100 statewide, top 85%, 320 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 43% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 6.3% in Whitehall — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3M2N9XA7BKBPYP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29