3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Manufactured
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,747/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$866
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$367
Net cashflow
$252/mo
Annual
$3,018/yr
Cap rate
14.24%
Cash-on-cash
28.37%
DSCR
2.26
1% rule
4.60%
Cash to close
$10,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#11 in UT, #457 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Layton School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #355 of 585 statewide, top 63%, 573 students, 26% FRL); Fairfield Jr High (math 60% / reading 58%, grade B, #6 of 138 statewide, top 4%, 1,026 students, 18% FRL); Layton High (math 27% / reading 46%, grade F, #86 of 171 statewide, top 52%, 2,242 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3M6PEFBQSCKVD3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29