2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,011 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,155/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$-120/mo
Annual
$-1,436/yr
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.04%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (12.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (31.6% below list).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Waldo C Falkener Sr Elementary (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,331 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 511 students, 99% FRL); Otis L Hairston Sr Middle (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #445 of 475 statewide, top 94%, 631 students, 100% FRL); James B Dudley High (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #414 of 535 statewide, top 79%, 1,491 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.7% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3MNWBX47V8B5CM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29