1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
462 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,509/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$262
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$315/mo
Annual
$3,781/yr
Cap rate
10.54%
Cash-on-cash
15.17%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in FL, #1,095 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D-.
Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Spring Lake Elementary School (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D-, #1,234 of 2,144 statewide, top 58%, 561 students, 80% FRL); Milwee Middle School (math 55% / reading 56%, grade B-, #178 of 571 statewide, top 31%, 1,426 students, 64% FRL); Lyman High School (math 36% / reading 50%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,084 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 38% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 389 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 149d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 8376% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $89k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.6% in Altamonte Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3N0GV2664R8SD7
· Data 4 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29