2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,090 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Contingent - No Showings
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,773/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$405
HOA
−$198
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,422
Net cashflow
$3,385/mo
Annual
$40,618/yr
Cap rate
21.92%
Cash-on-cash
55.79%
DSCR
3.48
1% rule
2.61%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($41k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $260k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#247 in IL, #4,462 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety F.
Richmond-Burton Chsd 157 (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #161 of 919 in IL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Spring Grove Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #658 of 2,056 statewide, top 35%, 308 students, 0% FRL); Nippersink Middle School (math 30% / reading 51%, grade F, #136 of 665 statewide, top 21%, 385 students, 0% FRL); Richmond-Burton High School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #107 of 693 statewide, top 17%, 549 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,595 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (485 in 5+ unit buildings).
McHenry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $165k; list at $260k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 6.0% in Fox Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3NR48X3PWYJQBT
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29