4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,672 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,328/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,851
Tax + insurance
−$905
HOA
−$170
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,329
Net cashflow
$-927/mo
Annual
$-11,129/yr
Cap rate
5.09%
Cash-on-cash
-4.30%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$259,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $925k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-927 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $761k (17.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $633k (31.6% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($911k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $633k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#546 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Manatee Bay Elementary School (math 73% / reading 81%, grade A, #170 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 1,071 students, 22% FRL); Falcon Cove Middle School (math 77% / reading 78%, grade A+, #27 of 571 statewide, top 5%, 2,178 students, 18% FRL); Cypress Bay High School (math 66% / reading 77%, grade B+, #49 of 667 statewide, top 8%, 4,716 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools average 19% FRL vs 51% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 75% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+28 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Broward average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.2% in Weston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,328/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($159k/yr) (locally 574% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3PG4QH7KCR01TS
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29