3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,695/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$-268/mo
Annual
$-3,220/yr
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.18%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-268 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (17.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (38.4% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (38.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#57 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Laurel School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #25 of 26 in DE (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Laurel Senior High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #32 of 40 statewide, top 85%, 747 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 58% district-wide (58 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $220k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.9% in Laurel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3PWMDH71E6TMGG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29