None bd · None ba ·
1,460 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,984/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,047
Net cashflow
$1,864/mo
Annual
$22,370/yr
Cap rate
13.75%
Cash-on-cash
26.63%
DSCR
2.18
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $300k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $932/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#353 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A, housing B+, crime B; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Greater Egg Harbor Regional High School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #319 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 5.5% in Egg Harbor City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,984/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 484% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— Visible signs of damage
Major: porch and steps
— Worn-out and in need of repair
CashFlowRE · CFR-3Q87H820BZE54A
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29